You want scenarios? We’ve got every possible scenario covered.
With Decision Day less than a week away, it’s time to look at the ways the Union’s seeding could change for the playoffs. These scenarios involved four teams: NYCFC, the U, D.C. United, and the Columbus Crew. (First and second seed will be split between Atlanta and RBNY). Here’s the matches each will play:
- Current third seed NYCFC (53 points) hosts the Union in New York
- Current fourth seed Union (50 points) visits NYCFC
- Current fifth seed D.C. United (50 points) travels to Chicago to face the Fire
- Current sixth seed Columbus (48 points) hosts Minnesota United FC
Note: Montreal can still sneak into the playoffs if they get the right result and Columbus falters, but Montreal cannot jump over the Union and so cannot affect the U’s seeding.
How the Union can get the third seed:
The easiest path into a home match is to simply take care of business and beat the team in front of them.
How the Union can keep the fourth seed:
- A draw in NYC and a D.C. United draw/loss.
The Union hold the tiebreaker over both D.C. United and Columbus (total wins) if it should come to that. A Columbus win with a Union draw (putting them both on 51 points) would not be enough to put Columbus past the U.
- A loss in NYC, a D.C. United loss, and a Columbus draw/loss
Now we’re getting into the ugly bits.
How the Union might drop to the fifth seed:
- A draw in NYC, and a D.C. United win.
While a draw is enough to keep Columbus at bay, a D.C. win puts Wayne Rooney and company above the boys in blue and into the fourth spot, pushing the U down into fifth.
- A loss in NYC, a D.C. United loss, and a Columbus win
- A loss in NYC, a D.C. United draw, and a Columbus draw/loss
- A loss in NYC, a D.C. United win, and a Columbus draw/loss
How the Union might Union down to the sixth seed:
- A loss in NYC, a D.C. United win/draw, and a Columbus win.
Please, just, no.