Entry Draft Profile: Conor Garland

Photo by MARK GOUDGE

Photo by MARK GOUDGE

 

With the Flyers owning 10 picks at the 2015 NHL draft, it’s very possible they’ll be able to pick mid round guys with high upside and find a mid round steal. That’s magnified by the fact that this draft is so deep and therefore elite talent will likely be easier to find in the middle round.

One such possible steal is Conor Garland, a 19 year old forward with Moncton of the Quebec Major Junior Hockey League.

Garland was one of the top scorers in the Q this past season and his explosive speed and skill will fit the type of player that Dave Hakstol needs for his system in Philadelphia.

 

WHL N OHL N QMJHL N
Junior to AHL 0.43 302 0.45 295 0.41 135
Junior to NHL 0.30 143 0.30 205 0.28 62
Implied AHL to NHL 0.70   0.67   0.68

 

Per Gabriel Desjardins chart, the implied NHLE of a QMJHL player via the AHL is .68 points per game for his age 18 and 19 seasons in Junior, so Garland, with 1.52 points per game in that time, is a 1.03 point per game NHLer based off this chart or 85 points in 82 games. For the direct jump from his most recent season, Rob Vollman’s most recent NHLe list projects that Garland’s 1.925 points per game in the Q is worth .5 points per game or 41 points per 82 games.

This means, that as a Right Wing, Garland is either a very good line 2 RW or an elite of the elite scorer. It’s likely the truth is somewhere in between. And do not fear his size. Tyler Ennis has had a decent NHL career despite being very comparable in size to Garland. And to make matters better for Garland, he massively outscored Ennis during his time in Junior which bodes well for him at the NHL level.

 

 

Via Own the Puck

Via Own the Puck

Given that Garland is ranked 86th by Central Scouting among North American Skaters, it’s very likely he’ll be available at 89/90 when the Flyers pick in Round 3 thanks to the Coburn trade or even with Columbus’s pick in Round 4 based off the Hartnell deal. If that’s the case, the Flyers would do well to pick Garland.

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