Photo credit: Amy Irvin (38Photography)
Having been sent back to Junior earlier this week, Travis Konecny will not be playing for the Flyers this season. However, given his very strong OHL track record it is possible to project what type of NHL player he’ll be.
Having had 2 OHL seasons greater than a point per game, he’s on the road to being a solid NHL forward. In fact, he’s likely the Flyers top forward prospect right now.
Vollman’s NHLE model pegs the OHL as being 0.3 of the NHL. For Konecny, having 1.2 Points per game combined in the regular season and playoffs in the OHL, he translates to .36 points per game in the NHL or 30 points per 82 games.
That may not seem like much, but it’s a solid middle six forward contribution. Remember Konecny is 18, and given his likely development in the OHL, he could easily push himself into the 40-50 point expected range after this OHL season. At this point he’d be a lock for a 2C or 1W talent and that’s something to be excited for. In fact, we’ll revisit Konecny a couple times during the season to track his development to help illustrate how the OHL time will help him develop and push his expectations forward.
Also, with the current contracts of Brayden Schenn and Scott Laughton blocking him, along with RJ Umberger and Vinny Lecavalier taking up space, there’s really no reason to burn a year of Konecny’s ELC. The Flyers are best off waiting and using the 3 cheap years as Konecny’s age 20, 21 and 22 seasons.